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Guest lecture

New Zealand's demographic accounting model - movers, stayers, and policy

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The first data release from the 2013 Census was accompanied by the statement that between 2006 and 2013, most of New Zealand’s 16 regions grew, with just two declining in size. This was true at Regional Council level. At Territorial Authority (TA) level, where 67 administrative units are enumerated, 20 declined in size (30 per cent), up from 15 (22 per cent) 2001-2006, and at Census Area Unit (CAU) level, 33 per cent of the 1,869 CAUs declined, up from 25 per cent 2001-2006. This paper outlines the deepening trend of rural and non-urban depopulation in New Zealand, placing it in its broader (global) context and raising some of its policy implications. The paper draws on early output from a recently awarded Marsden, and also an MBIE-funded project under which New Zealand’s first demographic accounting model has been developed, and which assists in explaining the nature of the trends.

About the speaker

Natalie Jackson is Professor of Demography at the National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis (NIDEA) at the University of Waikato, and was the Institute’s Foundation Director. She has a PhD in Demography from the Australian National University, and a Master of Social Science in Demography and Anthropology for the University of Waikato. Most of her work focuses on regional population ageing and the demography of local government areas in New Zealand and Australia.

Note: Papers, presentation slides and any other material provided by the Guest Lecturer will be made available some time after the lecture at Publications > Media & Speeches > Guest Lectures by Visiting Academics.

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Last updated: 
Thursday, 22 May 2014