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Media statement

Financial Statements of the Government of New Zealand for the Seven Months Ended 31 January 2019

Issue date: 
Thursday, 28 February 2019
Corporate author: 
Document Date: 
Thursday, 28 Feb 2019
Publication category: 
Fiscal year: 
2018/19

Paul Helm, Chief Government Accountant

The Financial Statements of the Government of New Zealand for the seven months ended 31 January 2019 were released by the Treasury today. The statements are compared against forecasts based on the Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update 2018 (HYEFU 2018) published on 13 December 2018.

Core Crown tax revenue at $47.7 billion was $0.3 billion (0.5%) ahead of forecast.  Within this, source deductions, customs and excise duties and GST were higher than forecast and partially offset by corporate tax revenue, which was below forecast.

Core Crown expenses of $49.4 billion were $0.6 billion (1.3%) below forecast. Of this, around $0.2 billion related to education expenses which were lower than forecast as a result of demand-driven factors across all sectors.  Social assistance benefits and impairments of sovereign receivables made up round $0.1 billion of this variance while just under $0.1 billion related to KiwiBuild. These underspends are likely to be timing in nature.

The operating balance before gains and losses (OBEGAL) was a surplus of $1.9 billion, $0.5 billion higher than forecast.  This was largely driven by the core Crown results offset by lower than forecast Crown entity and SOE results for the period. 

When net gains and losses are added to the OBEGAL result, the operating balance was a $2.4 billion deficit, $3.8 billion less than forecast. This variance was mostly due to net investment losses (driven by market rates) of $0.5 billion, being $3.0 billion below forecast gains, in addition to net losses on non-financial instruments of $3.8 billion, which were $1.2 billion higher than the forecast losses.

Core Crown residual cash was a deficit of $2.4 billion, $0.3 billion more than the forecast deficit with net operating cash flows being lower by $0.1 billion and higher capital spending of $0.2 billion against forecast.

Net core Crown debt at $60.3 billion, or 20.7% of GDP, was $0.2 billion higher than forecast, broadly in line with the residual cash result which directly impacts net debt.

Total borrowing was $2.5 billion lower than forecast at $114.5 billion, primarily relating to the higher holding of the Government Bonds by government reporting entities eliminated on consolidation (including those repurchases not forecast).

Net worth attributable to the Crown was $127.7 billion, $3.9 billion lower than forecast at HYEFU 2018.  The majority of this variance relates to the current operating balance deficit for the period.

$ million Year to date Full Year
January 2019
Actual1
January 2019
HYEFU 2018
Forecast1
Variance2
HYEFU 2018
Variance
HYEFU 2018
%
June 2019
HYEFU 2018
Forecast3
Core Crown          
Core Crown tax revenue 47,658 47,407 251 0.5 84,325
Core Crown revenue 51,620 51,458 162 0.3 91,323
Core Crown expenses 49,387 50,025 638 1.3 88,669
Core Crown residual cash (2,365) (2,035) (330) (16.2) (4,993)
Net core Crown debt4 60,267 60,034 (233) (0.4) 62,677
as a percentage of GDP 20.7% 20.6%     20.9%
Gross debt5 88,797 89,547 750 0.8 82,767
as a percentage of GDP 30.5% 30.8%     27.6%
Total Crown          
Operating balance before gains and losses 1,914 1,433 481 33.6 1,724
Operating balance (excluding minority interests) (2,366) 1,391 (3,757) (270.1) 3,112
Total borrowings 114,492 117,030 2,538 2.2 111,369
Net worth attributable to the Crown 127,692 131,623 (3,931) (3.0) 133,480
  1. Using the most recently published GDP (for the year ended 30 September 2018) of $290,902 million (Source: Stats NZ).
  2. Favourable variances against forecast have a positive sign and unfavourable variances against forecast have a negative sign.
  3. Using HYEFU 18 forecast GDP for the year ending 30 June 2019 of $300,168 million (Source: The Treasury).
  4. Net core Crown debt excluding student loans and other advances. Net debt may fluctuate during the year largely reflecting the timing of tax receipts.
  5. Gross sovereign-issued debt excluding settlement cash and Reserve Bank bills.

ENDS

Enquiries

Jayne Winfield | Office of the Government Accountant
Tel: +64 4 890 7205
Email: fiscalreporting@treasury.govt.nz
Last updated: 
Thursday, 28 February 2019